Behavioral Coaching

The 2024 Periodic Table of Investment Returns

One of my favorite charts has always been the Callan Periodic Table of Investment Returns. This visual masterpiece is a powerful reminder of the unpredictability of financial markets and the critical importance of diversification.

The chart beautifully illustrates the annual performance of key asset classes from 2005 to 2024, showcasing how dramatically returns can shift from year to year. Just look at the wild swings - one year an asset class might be at the top of the chart, and the next, it could be languishing at the bottom.

What makes this chart truly special is how it demolishes the myth of consistently picking market winners. Emerging Market Equity, for instance, has seen returns ranging from a staggering 78.51% to a devastating -53.33%. It's a humbling visualization that underscores why a well-diversified portfolio is crucial for long-term investment success.

It’s very difficult for any particular segment of the stock market to sustain superior performance. The watch word for our financial markets is, “reversion to the mean” i.e. what goes up must come down, and it’s true more often than you can imagine.
— John C. Bogle (Founder of the Vanguard Group)

The Callan Periodic Table isn't just a chart - it's a financial storyteller that reveals the inherent uncertainty in capital markets. It shows that no single asset class consistently dominates, which is why spreading your investments across different sectors and regions is so critical.

This chart is more than just numbers - it's a powerful tool for understanding market dynamics and making informed investment decisions. It's a reminder that successful investing is about patience, diversification, and avoiding the temptation to chase last year's top performers.

*Investing involves risk and you may incur a profit or loss regardless of strategy selected, including a long term holding period, diversification, and asset allocation. Raymond James is not affiliated with The Callan Institute.



Black Swans

I've had a number of clients who've expressed concerns about the markets and total economic calamity lately. I don't share these concerns but this post from the folks at Dimensional about how to avoid black swans says it better than I've been able to... https://www.dimensional.com/us-en/insights/how-to-avoid-black-swans

Aligning Your Spending with Your Values

Few people enjoy a budget and for many the goal of building wealth is so to get to the point that one isn’t needed. We’ve worked with clients at all ends of the wealth spectrum to help them evaluate their spending. Sometimes those with relatively smaller incomes are excellent savers and for some, the more they have, the easier it is to overspend.

What To Do With A Lump Sum of Cash?

Statistically we know that investing a lump sum in equities beats dollar cost averaging 75% of the time. And we know that dollar cost averaging outperforms a buy the dip strategy 60 - 75% of the time. So it seems like a no brainer to go ahead and put that cash to work all at once. In volatile markets like these that can be a scary prospect though. Right now it seems like the economy and markets could easily get worse before they get better. The good news is you don’t have to choose among these three strategies. You can take a hybrid approach, which combines all three. We know that putting money to work and keeping it invested for the long haul is the most important step one can take towards building wealth, regardless of the exact timing of how you get started. So while statistics tell us that investing a lump sum all at once is a better strategy 75% of the time, it really hurts when you put a lump sum to work and then the markets crash, 20, 30, 40, or 50%! For many clients, they only have a large sum to put to work once or twice in their lives so the pressure feels much greater than a robotic approach to investing might suggest.